Project R - how do you feel we are doing?

[ilhilh]

So now we have week 3 missions I thought I would try and get an idea how people feel we are progressing.

 

Week 1 could be characterised by outrage.  2000 kamikazes in a LOTTERY.  One that would be giving people anything between a 1:15 and a 1:20 chance.  And that would have been hard to swallow but then we looked at the SEA/RU servers and saw that they could guarantee themselves one.  Why are we so different?  But, within days WG had bowed to the pressure they were put under.  The lottery for 150 pearls remained... but for 260 pearls you could be certain of having a kamikaze-r in your port.  Everyone was happy, and everyone had a right to be happy.

 

...then the week 2 missions arrived.  'We already have 3 mil pearls!', 'we earned 400k in day' were the cries we heard.  Now this issue wasn't whether we would get to 10 million... but would we get there before week 4 (this week would allow people to jump from max 236 pearls and break the 260 pearl marker).  Had we been sold a lie?  Had they told us 260 pearls knowing that we would never get there? A sick, twisted joke on us.

 

And now we are onto week 3's pearls.  We have broken the 5 mil mark - over half way there.  Things do seem to have settled down a bit on the forum but are there still people out there biting their finger nails, anxiously checking the total... then their calendar... then their working out... then the total again whilst worrying we might not get what we want?

 

Let me know your thoughts

 

p.s. I'm going for option 3 - defo hitting the target  within the time frame and not so rushed that some people cannot get to 260 if they have put in even a modest amount of effort.

[Hedgehog1963]

She'll be fine.  

 

I've neglected my tanks to get these pearls, in conjunction with trying to get sn ARP Kongo.  I actually got myself the Bogue and started shooting down enemy 'planes and winning matches in CVs.  It's been interesting.

[Nechrom]

End of week 4 at the very earliest. But the start of week 5 is more likely.

[Pekoe_Darjeeling]

There is enough time and even players who are not interested to get the ship they still playing and earning pearls in battles.

[it3llig3nc3]

The voting options are not giving all plausible possibilities. What to chose if you believe we will reach 10mill around the end of week 4?

Based on the current progress stat to me (mathematically) the most probable option is that we hit the mark sometimes during week 4 (i.e. next week)

 

However for me this Project R is less about hitting the targets, more about testing the trust in WG's behavior. 

Up till now they seemed consistent with the weekly missions (i.e. not changing them just resetting) and also the guaranteed 260P limit for the players was announced after asking...

My dilemma now is that with the current progress and performance it SEEMS fairly reasonable (if not easy) to reach the 260 barrier even for some causal players - that means lots of Kamikaze Rs to be given out... ...will this be honored I wonder. Time will tell.

[Dippypiece]

I missed a week but this week i should hit about 170 so that gets me in the lottery at least 

 

[Xevious_Red]

I think end of week 4/early week 5.

 

After 1 week we had 3 mill. 2 weeks saw that go to 5 mill. Means we make about 2 mill a week from the weeklies, and the extra mill from the 1 time missions (class/frags etc).

I suspect most people already have most of the 1 time missions (at least the ones they're going for), so my prediction is 7 mill end of this week, 9 mill end of next, 10 mill early Monday morning when the missions reset

[it3llig3nc3]

I think end of week 4/early week 5.

 

After 1 week we had 3 mill. 2 weeks saw that go to 5 mill. Means we make about 2 mill a week from the weeklies, and the extra mill from the 1 time missions (class/frags etc).

I suspect most people already have most of the 1 time missions (at least the ones they're going for), so my prediction is 7 mill end of this week, 9 mill end of next, 10 mill early Monday morning when the missions reset

 

You have a valid point here... I forgot where we were at the end of week 1. You must be right saying that week 2 performance is much better indication for week 3 (and later on) than the average of week 1&2.

The big question that we do not know is the new player influx: players joining late and start working on the 1 time missions AND weeklies may stir the picture. 

Psychologically the interesting point will be when we enter into the 9 - 9.5mill zone for total: how many players will start playing more to secure their own personal target (either the 150 or the 260) before we hit the mark of 10mill? I expect a drastic acceleration at the end due to this. Because if you think about it even a player joining NOW has a reasonable chance to get into the lottery by playing 2 weeks of weekly missions and a few 1 time to get to 150P... :-)

 

[Asghaad]

its going too fast frankly - i started missions almost immediatelly after they were announced and im now sitting at 166 with 70 left open to unlock. Thats 236 absolute maximum for me this week.

 

if competition lasts two weeks more then i will be able to finish to 260, but it seems to be speeding up right now so question is, can 4.6 mil pearls be done before the week is over or not.

 

my guess is that by the end of the week we will be sitting somewhere around 9 mils, with last million done on next week monday.

 

 That means that anyone who didnt start in the first week is boned and will be left with the original lottery.

 

and anyone predicting more than 10days to finish is frankly optimistic, we gathered 54% in 11 days and people are still joining up i think, rest will take less than the first half.

[IamTroublemaker]

If the pearl rewards stay the same next week I should be getting those 260 next Monday.

 

Since we are 3 weeks into this and collected ~5 mil pearls, getting 5 more doesn't seem like a problem for the next 3 and a half weeks.

[ilhilh]

The voting options are not giving all plausible possibilities. What to chose if you believe we will reach 10mill around the end of week 4?

Based on the current progress stat to me (mathematically) the most probable option is that we hit the mark sometimes during week 4 (i.e. next week)

 

I maybe should have phrased it better but I think that fits into the comfortably completing it section i.e. we will definitely complete it and you don't need to be staying up at midnight on Sunday to get the final pearls in time.

 

 

You have a valid point here... I forgot where we were at the end of week 1. You must be right saying that week 2 performance is much better indication for week 3 (and later on) than the average of week 1&2.

The big question that we do not know is the new player influx: players joining late and start working on the 1 time missions AND weeklies may stir the picture. 

Psychologically the interesting point will be when we enter into the 9 - 9.5mill zone for total: how many players will start playing more to secure their own personal target (either the 150 or the 260) before we hit the mark of 10mill? I expect a drastic acceleration at the end due to this. Because if you think about it even a player joining NOW has a reasonable chance to get into the lottery by playing 2 weeks of weekly missions and a few 1 time to get to 150P... :-)

 

 

The whole panic as to whether we would get 260 pearls before we hit 10 mil pearls stemmed from the worry that there would be enough of an influx of players to keep us making over 3 mil per week and as such never seeing week 4. But, the stats for week 2 don't really support this theory.  My expectation is that 3mil for week 1 reflects a lot of 1 time only missions.  2 mil for week 2 reflects mainly weekly misssions but also the remaining 1 time missions for those who hadn't collected them all in the first week.  I actually think week 3 will earn a bit less than week 2 but time will tell I guess - but I personally don't think there are that many new sign-ups coming through all of the time.

[Asghaad]

If the pearl rewards stay the same next week I should be getting those 260 next Monday.

 

Since we are 3 weeks into this and collected ~5 mil pearls, getting 5 more doesn't seem like a problem for the next 3 and a half weeks.

 

ahem the event started 21.1.2016, now we have 1.2.2016 thats exactly 11 days, NOT 3 weeks

 

its "third week" of event only if you count first weekend as first week, then one whole week and then this week of which we are in a first day, and looking at the number we will be at 6 million before the day is over ... and count was under 5 million yesterday ...

[Asghaad]

 

I maybe should have phrased it better but I think that fits into the comfortably completing it section i.e. we will definitely complete it and you don't need to be staying up at midnight on Sunday to get the final pearls in time.

 

 

The whole panic as to whether we would get 260 pearls before we hit 10 mil pearls stemmed from the worry that there would be enough of an influx of players to keep us making over 3 mil per week and as such never seeing week 4. But, the stats for week 2 don't really support this theory.  My expectation is that 3mil for week 1 reflects a lot of 1 time only missions.  2 mil for week 2 reflects mainly weekly misssions but also the remaining 1 time missions for those who hadn't collected them all in the first week.  I actually think week 3 will earn a bit less than week 2 but time will tell I guess - but I personally don't think there are that many new sign-ups coming through all of the time.

 

thats inaccurate, the "week one" was only THREE DAYS ...

 

then there was about 3 milions in week 2 but right now we are at nearly one million in SINGLE DAY ...

[ilhilh]

 

thats inaccurate, the "week one" was only THREE DAYS ...

 

then there was about 3 milions in week 2 but right now we are at nearly one million in SINGLE DAY ...

 

No.  Week 1 started on Monday 18th January.  It then rolled onto week 2 on Monday 25th January.  It has now started week 3 today, Monday 1st February.

[ShuggieHamster]

missed most of the first week and didnt have time to play more than a couple of games on the sunday.

means its going to be tight ... made worse by the fact I seem to be getting more than the usual number of mentally challenged teams.

Admittedly I've seen some new disfunctionality that I've never seen before

• 8 ship lemming train chasing carriers to the point they sailed through the opposing cap, got it to 90% in a game we were losing then sailed out the other side still chasing a carrier
• 2BB's on 1BB and 1CL. one BB engages, the other sails away to cap A (other end of map from fight) which was already capped - that was his excuse
• tenryu captain randomly launched torps in spawn then accuses everyone else of abandoning him when he yolos
• sampson captain launches torps at same team dd because "its my cap" - strange new form of kill stealling?
• 4 ship pile up in spawn followed by some of the saltiest chat I've ever seen

 

[Asghaad]

 

No.  Week 1 started on Monday 18th January.  It then rolled onto week 2 on Monday 25th January.  It has now started week 3 today, Monday 1st February.

 

ok guess that 21st is just the edit for 260 pearls addition then.

 

which also means the 24th of february date set for event to finish should be aplicable as well which SHOULD mean we have 4 more weeks to finish regardless if we reach 10mil next week or not. hopefully ...

[Aldramelech]

Well I'm comfy on 236 and I think all will be well, doesn't mean the first thing I'm doing a week monday is getting logged on straight after work

 

[Kartoffelmos]

If the following week(s) generate pearls in the same tempo as the previous ones, we should be reaching the 10M mark at the 13th of February at the earliest (the starting bonus from the first week is still making these calculations overly optimistic with regard to the time needed). So yeah, I have no worries.

[Deckeru_Maiku]

p.s. I'm going for option 3 - defo hitting the target  within the time frame and not so rushed that some people cannot get to 260 if they have put in even a modest amount of effort.

 

I'm with you on that. My guesstimate is, that end of this week we'll be at 6.5mill or maybe 7mill, giving us enough time to finisch the 10 in the remaining time.

 

Well I'm comfy on 236 and I think all will be well, doesn't mean the first thing I'm doing a week monday is getting logged on straight after work

 

236 get2

Not sure if I continue after hitting 260... maybe if the count get's tighter than expected

[xER0h0UR]

I have completed all Missions last week and this week and have a total of 236 pearls.

The current pearl target at time of writing is 5,854,000. Around 500,000 have been collected in a day.

When the missions redeploy next Sunday (0300hrs UTC) the chances are the Pearl target would be reached and my chances of 

getting 260 and the Kamikaze would have gone.

What gives ?

[it3llig3nc3]

I have completed all Missions last week and this week and have a total of 236 pearls.

The current pearl target at time of writing is 5,854,000. Around 500,000 have been collected in a day.

When the missions redeploy next Sunday (0300hrs UTC) the chances are the Pearl target would be reached and my chances of 

getting 260 and the Kamikaze would have gone.

What gives ?

 

your math is wrong.

The daily pearl count jumped just because the maniac players pushed to complete the weekly missions in one day.

Week 1 total was 3million P

Week 2 total was 2million P (as we reached the total of 5mill)

WHAT MAKES YOU THINK THAT THIS WEEK WE WILL DO MORE THAN DOUBLE THAN LAST WEEK?

[Sonic_157]

 

your math is wrong.

The daily pearl count jumped just because the maniac players pushed to complete the weekly missions in one day.

Week 1 total was 3million P

Week 2 total was 2million P (as we reached the total of 5mill)

WHAT MAKES YOU THINK THAT THIS WEEK WE WILL DO MORE THAN DOUBLE THAN LAST WEEK?

 

 

This. The general pearl count spiked yesterday because the weekly missions reset and every player that is signed in started completing them immediately.

The count will continue to increase today but with reduced acceleration until it completely degrades by the end of the week.

 

 

[B010011A]

I will get the maximum of pearls until the finish of the event and all the people with an average of 6-7ships will have all the pearls. Then sum up the rest of people who can do the weekly missions only and still will have the 260purls if they started at the beggining. The low tier guys who just want or can reach the 150purls.

[Sonic_157]

 

EU reached the 6,000,000 mark! Congratulations to all. 

 

Enjoy your "10 of each" flags (remember to open the chest first!).

 

Also have in mind that next weekend will have a X3 event once we reach the 6,500,000 mark in a few days.

 

 

 

[txtspeak]

the frag missions must've been made by a ret4rd with a mental disorder. who thought they were a good idea? they promote frustration and kill stealing