[BURZA] Montrala Players 514 posts 18,034 battles Report post #1 Posted November 22, 2021 I'm going to buy lottery ticket tommorow! EDIT: In case you did not notice it, this is NOT premium container. 18 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[HOO] DreadArchangel Weekend Tester 1,004 posts Report post #2 Posted November 22, 2021 Yup bought the ten pack and got the Tirpitz B and the Yoshino B, so can't moan about that, along withe 1250 dubs and 28 days of premium and some signals Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[BURZA] Montrala Players 514 posts 18,034 battles Report post #3 Posted November 22, 2021 6 minut temu, DreadArchangel napisał: Yup bought the ten pack and got the Tirpitz B and the Yoshino B From non-premium containers? I see only premium containers in Armory. Those have 12% chance of dropping ship, while non-premium ones from mission have 0.32% chance to drop a ship. I see "small" difference there. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[HOO] DreadArchangel Weekend Tester 1,004 posts Report post #4 Posted November 22, 2021 They were premium containers yes, I bought the sequential containers up to the Duny, mainly for the 3 prem containers you can get from it, out of the three got the sims B and 14 days prem and the third one gave me some signals Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[-TPF-] invicta2012 Players 6,382 posts 26,850 battles Report post #5 Posted November 22, 2021 32 minutes ago, Montrala said: I'm going to buy lottery ticket tommorow! EDIT: In case you did not notice it, this is NOT premium container. 12% is an 8-1 chance of getting a ship, 0.32% is 300-1, lottery win is about 45,000,000-1. 300-1 is a long shot, but not a hopeless one, by any means. Perhaps WG could ask Rachel Riley to help Dasha to give the playerbase a lesson in probability as part of the next patch notes? 5 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[CG] Redcap375 Players 4,371 posts 15,295 battles Report post #6 Posted November 22, 2021 1-300? Lol. Fair play and well done WG for telling us the odds but wow. 1-8 from premium containers? Bet they are rubbing their hands together. They will be raking the money in. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[SPURD] Itwastuesday Players 1,768 posts 13,575 battles Report post #7 Posted November 22, 2021 I was jealous and didn't even post. Just got back to Khabarovsk grind (which I got done) and opened the garbo containers. Jealous no more. 6 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[G-O-M] Aethervoxx Players 2,597 posts 13,191 battles Report post #8 Posted November 23, 2021 2 hours ago, Redcap375 said: from premium containers? Bet they are rubbing their hands together. They will be raking the money in. This is why Wedgie won't change, not when, keep giving Wedgie money. Ofc, most will just get an 'atomic wedgie' unlike these braggards who come here to brag 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[BURZA] Montrala Players 514 posts 18,034 battles Report post #9 Posted November 23, 2021 3 godziny temu, invicta2012 napisał: lottery win is about 45,000,000-1. Actually about 15,000,000:1* around here. I know math :) 2 godziny temu, Itwastuesday napisał: Just got back to Khabarovsk grind (which I got done) and opened the garbo containers. Hmm. Is Asashio B a new Makarov for regular Black Friday containers? * - to be exact 13,983,816:1 1 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[E-R-W] SilentEnimLegesInterArma Players 327 posts 19,567 battles Report post #10 Posted November 23, 2021 asashio is the new makarov? ;D Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[HPF] Ocsimano18 Players 3,476 posts 13,949 battles Report post #11 Posted November 23, 2021 Ok, guys. From 10 non premium black friday containers, you have about 3.1% chance to get at least one ship. Soo from 100 forumites, we can expect 3 (that means in practice 2-5 persons) to get at least one ship. For the connaiseurs, see the maths below 4 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[HPF] Ocsimano18 Players 3,476 posts 13,949 battles Report post #12 Posted November 23, 2021 40 minutes ago, GuiltyByAssociation said: asashio is the new makarov? ;D I’ve also seen a streamer who opened Asashio from his first 10 premium containers (having no other black ships). Given it should be 1:12 chance, there seems to be too many anecdotes. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[WG] YabbaCoe WG Staff, WG Staff, WG Staff 10,676 posts 5,441 battles Report post #13 Posted November 23, 2021 12 hours ago, Montrala said: I'm going to buy lottery ticket tommorow! EDIT: In case you did not notice it, this is NOT premium container. Lucky you! I also hope, that your lottery ticket will be as successful 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Harvin87 Players 269 posts 3,656 battles Report post #14 Posted November 23, 2021 8 minutos antes, YabbaCoe dijo: Lucky you! I also hope, that your lottery ticket will be as successful This happened to me as well lmao. With the spare doubloons I had left from buying Alaska, I bought a single container, and got Loyang B. Can't complain, to be honest. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[WG] YabbaCoe WG Staff, WG Staff, WG Staff 10,676 posts 5,441 battles Report post #15 Posted November 23, 2021 1 minute ago, Harvin87 said: This happened to me as well lmao. With the spare doubloons I had left from buying Alaska, I bought a single container, and got Loyang B. Can't complain, to be honest. Miracles happens sometimes 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[ROUGH] Yamashiro42 Players 1,065 posts 26,558 battles Report post #16 Posted November 23, 2021 Last year I got Massachusetts B from one of the free containers. No such luck this year though... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[CAG] General_Alexus Players 1,046 posts 13,178 battles Report post #17 Posted November 23, 2021 12 hours ago, invicta2012 said: Perhaps WG could ask Rachel Riley to help Dasha to give the playerbase a lesson in probability as part of the next patch notes? This, I mean it would be a great PR move, something like: "In addition to revealing our droprates and the enforcment of rules to protect minors from Gambeling, we want to anounce the start of our free probability theory 1 course for all our players to learn what 10% firechance on your shells realy means. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[C1DFL] togMOR [C1DFL] Beta Tester 3,604 posts 18,947 battles Report post #18 Posted November 23, 2021 Got lucky too ... 4 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[BURZA] Montrala Players 514 posts 18,034 battles Report post #19 Posted November 23, 2021 31 minut temu, togMOR napisał: Got lucky too ... That is not lucky! That is OP level of lucky ;) 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[WSW] ColorsOfRainbows Players 665 posts 7,534 battles Report post #20 Posted November 23, 2021 5 hours ago, Ocsimano18 said: I’ve also seen a streamer who opened Asashio from his first 10 premium containers (having no other black ships). Given it should be 1:12 chance, there seems to be too many anecdotes. I bet Money asashio is ranked higher on chances also higher tier have less chance but that's still hidden. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[CG] Redcap375 Players 4,371 posts 15,295 battles Report post #21 Posted November 23, 2021 Love it how forumites are fanning the flames of WG money. They are loving all this publicity, lol. Personally there isn't any ships I actually NEED or really want that are left out of the selection. Think about all those ships you have in port and havnt even played or used to and don't anymore. Yet people feel compelled to buy, like its a drug to feed the addiction. The here today gone tomorrow culture. 5 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[-TPF-] invicta2012 Players 6,382 posts 26,850 battles Report post #22 Posted November 23, 2021 1 hour ago, Redcap375 said: Love it how forumites are fanning the flames of WG money. They are loving all this publicity, lol. Personally there isn't any ships I actually NEED or really want that are left out of the selection. Think about all those ships you have in port and havnt even played or used to and don't anymore. Yet people feel compelled to buy, like its a drug to feed the addiction. The here today gone tomorrow culture. All fair points. But while there is still a lot to criticise, this Black Friday is WG from 2018/2019, with a sale which actually appears to be about discounted goods. If you want a Jean Bart B, you don't *have* to gamble for it, you can just buy it for doubloons at a price 30% lower than another Tier IX BB. Your choice. It's a *sale*. From a company which didn't seem to understand what the term meant only a few months ago. So there's some progress. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[NECRO] Deckeru_Maiku Beta Tester 6,636 posts 24,864 battles Report post #23 Posted November 23, 2021 12 hours ago, Ocsimano18 said: Ok, guys. From 10 non premium black friday containers, you have about 3.1% chance to get at least one ship. Soo from 100 forumites, we can expect 3 (that means in practice 2-5 persons) to get at least one ship. For the connaiseurs, see the maths below Only works when 100 forumites spend money for the chance of a black ship they might or not might have already... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[HPF] Ocsimano18 Players 3,476 posts 13,949 battles Report post #24 Posted November 23, 2021 24 minutes ago, Deckeru_Maiku said: Only works when 100 forumites spend money for the chance of a black ship they might or not might have already... These are for free crates you get from missions. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mad_Dog_Dante Players 6,636 posts Report post #25 Posted November 23, 2021 Its great to know that with 1 out of 300 free low tier crates roughly has a chance to drop a ship, some people actually get a ship. It is to be expected though, so I'm not sure if this warrants a dedicated thread Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
