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GraySlayer

Understanding Stats

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Players
644 posts
4,197 battles

Been trying to figure out how statistics work as I noticed this..

 

1 win on its own and I gain 0.01%WR

2 wins and I gain 0.03%WR

2 losses and I lose 0.04%WR

 

For the life of me i've never been good at math but that dont look right to me on first glance. It probably is but I just don't understand it LOL..

 

 

 

 

 

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Players
12,666 posts
9,841 battles

Because you have >50% WR.

 

F.e.

100 battles played with 60% WR (so 60/100 wins)

- 1 more win is 61/101 or 60,4% WR, you gained 0,4%

- 1 more loss is 60/101 or 59,41% WR, you lost 0,59%

 

100 battles played with 40% WR (40/100 wins)

- 1 more win is 41/101 or 40,59% WR, you gained 0,59%

- 1 more loss is 40/101 or 39,6% WR, you lost 0,4%

 

The difference is higher from 0% to 60% than from 60% to 100%.

  • Cool 6

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[-OOF-]
Beta Tester
613 posts
8,540 battles

"The risk I took was caluclated - but man, am I bad at math"

 

The loss or gain of WR is in relation to your current amount of battles, your current WR and the recent changes. The more battles you have, the more battles you need to significantly change your WR in any direction. At the same time, the higher your overall WR is, the harder it hits you, when you lose a game, because the number of battles won is much bigger than those lost, so losing a game has more impact on your WR in total than winning one, as the percentage changes much easier - due to more influence of smaller numbers of battles.

 

This obiovusly also works in the opposite direction.

 

 

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[NTT]
Players
2,095 posts
11,589 battles
15 minuti fa, DFens_666 ha scritto:

Because you have >50% WR.

 

F.e.

100 battles played with 60% WR (so 60/100 wins)

- 1 more win is 61/101 or 60,4% WR, you gained 0,4%

- 1 more loss is 60/101 or 59,41% WR, you lost 0,59%

 

100 battles played with 40% WR (40/100 wins)

- 1 more win is 41/101 or 40,59% WR, you gained 0,59%

- 1 more loss is 40/101 or 39,6% WR, you lost 0,4%

 

The difference is higher from 0% to 60% than from 60% to 100%.

you had to use a calculator becuz i can only do 2+2=cat....

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[ZEN]
Players
154 posts
4,600 battles

+0,01 or +0,03.

 

It shows the effect of your latest battles to the total average of your account.

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Players
644 posts
4,197 battles
On 12/5/2020 at 9:48 AM, Nov_A said:

"The risk I took was caluclated - but man, am I bad at math"

 

The loss or gain of WR is in relation to your current amount of battles, your current WR and the recent changes. The more battles you have, the more battles you need to significantly change your WR in any direction. At the same time, the higher your overall WR is, the harder it hits you, when you lose a game, because the number of battles won is much bigger than those lost, so losing a game has more impact on your WR in total than winning one, as the percentage changes much easier - due to more influence of smaller numbers of battles.

 

This obiovusly also works in the opposite direction.

 

 

Ah ok got it.

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