[TACHA] Grandorf Players 241 posts 15,404 battles Report post #1 Posted March 9, 2019 1 4 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[HAKUY] Yosha_AtaIante Players 8,032 posts 19,179 battles Report post #2 Posted March 9, 2019 Oh my, shockingly revealing. Cover it up quick! You shouldn't buy lottery tickets 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[UNICS] loppantorkel Players 4,506 posts 15,942 battles Report post #3 Posted March 9, 2019 Wth is this Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[THESO] MrWastee Players 4,255 posts 33,590 battles Report post #4 Posted March 9, 2019 obviously nothing proofly proven.... 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[-OOF-] ollonborre Beta Tester 2,598 posts 12,758 battles Report post #5 Posted March 9, 2019 I don't get it, you are 1 duplicate away from completing the entire collection? OH the horror? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[SHAD] Miscommunication_dept Players 5,512 posts 24,469 battles Report post #6 Posted March 9, 2019 I assume you know that you have enough duplicates to complete the set? 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[SHAD] Miscommunication_dept Players 5,512 posts 24,469 battles Report post #7 Posted March 9, 2019 Isn’t it 4 duplicates to buy one of your choice? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[TACHA] Grandorf Players 241 posts 15,404 battles Report post #8 Posted March 9, 2019 I know you are fanboys but as you know they desperately want to sell you crates. This is the closest you can get. 5 duplicates gives 1 item. This is beyond any non rigged lottery. Do the math. 1 4 1 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[QUAK] KS1975 [QUAK] Beta Tester 698 posts 12,455 battles Report post #9 Posted March 9, 2019 What's your problem? You get these item with the daily crates, so what? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
AbsoluteCornflakes Players 30 posts Report post #10 Posted March 9, 2019 With 13/16 collected, you have 81.25% chance to receive a duplicate and only 18.75% to get one of the missing items. What exactly is rigged here? Do you even math yourself? 3 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[TOXIC] Kartoffelmos Alpha Tester 2,237 posts 8,884 battles Report post #11 Posted March 9, 2019 4 hours ago, gopher31 said: Isn’t it 4 duplicates to buy one of your choice? It is 5. As for the topic itself, please roll a dice and create a forum post whenever you have rolled five sides and cannot get the last one on your next X attempts. 4 hours ago, Grandorf said: This is beyond any non rigged lottery. Do the math. Sure. The probability of not getting one of the 3 remaining items in one drop is 81,25 %. The probability of repeating that 13 times is 5,46 %. Rigging confirmed, I guess? EDIT: Corrected a typo. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[THESO] MrWastee Players 4,255 posts 33,590 battles Report post #12 Posted March 9, 2019 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[PUPSI] Klopirat Freibeuter 15,160 posts Report post #13 Posted March 9, 2019 Vor 8 Minuten, Grandorf sagte: Do the math. same to you... Vor 9 Minuten, Grandorf sagte: This is the closest you can get. 5 duplicates gives 1 item. - you can get those items in the daily containers - next week should come another stage with several air supply containers to earn... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[UNICS] loppantorkel Players 4,506 posts 15,942 battles Report post #14 Posted March 9, 2019 10 minutes ago, Grandorf said: I know you are fanboys but as you know they desperately want to sell you crates. This is the closest you can get. 5 duplicates gives 1 item. This is beyond any non rigged lottery. Do the math. Don't listen to them, I'm sure they're in on it 1 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
anonym_FDOLXpxOfXXq Players 801 posts Report post #15 Posted March 9, 2019 21 minutes ago, Grandorf said: This is beyond any non rigged lottery. Do the math. I would suggest staying very far away from lottery and math in general ;-) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Skurfa Beta Tester 809 posts Report post #16 Posted March 9, 2019 I’ve actually tried it... but only once. But I hate all the rng included in buying boxes and so forth. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[XTREM] Miragetank90 Players 2,626 posts 18,708 battles Report post #17 Posted March 9, 2019 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[SCRUB] Aotearas Players 8,460 posts 13,076 battles Report post #18 Posted March 9, 2019 2 hours ago, Grandorf said: I know you are fanboys but as you know they desperately want to sell you crates. This is the closest you can get. 5 duplicates gives 1 item. This is beyond any non rigged lottery. Do the math. You do know you can get collectibles from your normal daily crates, right? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[BHSFL] Beastofwar [BHSFL] Players 4,596 posts Report post #19 Posted March 9, 2019 3 hours ago, Grandorf said: This is beyond any non rigged lottery. Do the math. If it was a lottery there would be rules to ensure fair play.....it is just a rigged gambling game with programmed variables only WG knows. That said i got a UK BB out of 13.95 euro's worth of boxes - because i could not wait for that T6 UK CV - while that ship costs some 36 euro's in the shop. But that might just be such a programmed variable because WG detects i never buy boxes and wants to encourage me it's woth it and buy more... And indeed 5 duplicates make 1 original. I always used that and have failed completing only 1 collection, and the rewards were not worth it anyway. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[ST-EU] Kysmet Supertest Coordinator 381 posts 19,372 battles Report post #20 Posted March 9, 2019 The collection is easy to finish. o_O Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[TOXIC] eliastion Players 4,795 posts 12,260 battles Report post #21 Posted March 9, 2019 3 hours ago, AmiralPotato said: I would suggest staying very far away from lottery and math in general ;-) I'm not sure about lotteries, but he clearly stays very far from math in general already, no need to encourage him any further 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[TACHA] Grandorf Players 241 posts 15,404 battles Report post #22 Posted March 9, 2019 Yes fanboys, I will get the final one today. Looking at other opening 20-44 crates you can obviously see its skeewed. Youtube and Reddit is full of them. By the way. Its more than math when it comes to probability and none of you or me can precisely calculate it. 2 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[UNICS] loppantorkel Players 4,506 posts 15,942 battles Report post #23 Posted March 9, 2019 11 minutes ago, Grandorf said: Yes fanboys, I will get the final one today. Looking at other opening 20-44 crates you can obviously see its skeewed. Youtube and Reddit is full of them. By the way. Its more than math when it comes to probability and none of you or me can precisely calculate it. Of course Too much complemicated for us. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[TOXIC] Kartoffelmos Alpha Tester 2,237 posts 8,884 battles Report post #24 Posted March 9, 2019 13 minutes ago, Grandorf said: Yes fanboys, I will get the final one today. Looking at other opening 20-44 crates you can obviously see its skeewed. Youtube and Reddit is full of them. By the way. Its more than math when it comes to probability and none of you or me can precisely calculate it. You should see a doctor. The tinfoil hat that you are wearing seems to have poisoned your body. Other than that, statistics is a field within mathematics so there literally cannot be "more than math" to it. Feel free to also point out what WG gain by rigging a purely cosmetic collection which isn't time-limited and which will automatically be completed if you have remembered to check the "collecting"-option. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
[TOXIC] eliastion Players 4,795 posts 12,260 battles Report post #25 Posted March 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, Grandorf said: Yes fanboys, I will get the final one today. Looking at other opening 20-44 crates you can obviously see its skeewed. Youtube and Reddit is full of them. By the way. Its more than math when it comes to probability and none of you or me can precisely calculate it. I don't feel like doing the real math so I'll just show how misguided you are with a very simplified calculation. Let's assume that you were INCREDIBLY lucky and didn't have a single duplicate in your first 13 draws. That puts you at 13/16 collected and 0 duplicates. What would then be the chance of ending up in your current situation? You'd need 14 straight duplicates. The chance of getting a duplicate while having 13 items collected out of 16-item collection is 13/16. The chance of drawing 14 duplicates in a row is (13/16)^14. This equals a bit above 5.46% That's more that 1/20. On average more than one out of every 20 players with 13 items already collected would then get 14+ duplicates straight if they kept collecting without exchanging anything. But sure. It's got to be rigged that you got 14 duplicates over the whole course of gathering the collection, no other option TL;DR: You have no idea how probability works, that's why you spout nonsense and make up conspiracy theories about WG cheating you out of your collection items to force you into buying containers. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
